Friday 15 Nov 2019


A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

– Goldsboro


– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

– Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 55 mph

– Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Thursday evening until Friday afternoon

– POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for wind 58 to 73 mph

– The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.

– PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical storm force due to possible forecast changes in track, size, or intensity.

– PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for significant wind damage.

– ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


– Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

– Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over.

– A few roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable.

– Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect

– Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally higher amounts

– POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for major flooding rain

– The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.

– PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely.

– PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.

– ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.


– Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.

– Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed.

– Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.



– Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes \

– POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for a few tornadoes – The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.

– PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a few tornadoes.

– PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives.

– ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


– The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

– A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions.

– Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.



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