Friday 15 Nov 2019


11 PM UPDATE: Tropical Storm Warning; Flash Flood Warning Remain In Effect

Hurricane Dorian will be impacting central North Carolina through Friday afternoon. Storm total rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts can be expected mainly along and east of Interstate 95.

AREAS AFFECTED: CUMBERLAND; EDGECOMBE; FRANKLIN; HALIFAX; HARNETT; HOKE; JOHNSTON; NASH; SAMPSON; SCOTLAND; WAKE; WAYNE; WILSON

This product covers central North Carolina

**HURRICANE DORIAN CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON**

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
– A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Cumberland, Edgecombe, Franklin, Halifax, Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Nash, Sampson, Scotland, Wake, Wayne, and Wilson

* STORM INFORMATION:
– About 150 miles south-southeast of Raleigh NC or about 140 miles south of Rocky Mount NC
– 33.8N 77.4W
– Storm Intensity 100 mph
– Movement Northeast or 45 degrees at 13 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
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Hurricane Dorian will continue to impact central North Carolina through Friday afternoon. Storm total rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts can be expected mainly along and east of Interstate 95. Between U.S. Highway 1 and Interstate 95 storm totals of 1 to 4 inches will be possible. This rainfall could result in flash flooding, particularly in low-lying and poor drainage areas, and subsequent river flooding. Further sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 50 mph across the Coastal Plain and Sandhills can be expected. Winds of this magnitude combined with saturated soils will result in scattered downed trees and power lines. Impacts will decrease markedly to the west of US Highway 1.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
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* FLOODING RAIN:

Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across the Coastal Plain of North Carolina. Remain well guarded against life-threatening flood waters having possible extensive impacts. If realized, these impacts include:

– Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.

– Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed.

– Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across central North Carolina. Remain well guarded against dangerous flood waters having limited to significant impacts.

Elsewhere across central North Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:

Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across the Coastal Plain of North Carolina. Remain well sheltered from dangerous wind having possible significant impacts. If realized, these impacts include:

– Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

– Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over.

– A few roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable.

– Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent in areas with above ground lines. Potential impacts from the main wind event are also now unfolding across central North Carolina. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind having possible limited impacts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
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* EVACUATIONS:
Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy. Do not venture outside while in the eye of a hurricane as any improvement in weather will only be temporary. Once the eye passes, conditions will become life threatening as winds immediately return to dangerous speeds, so remain safely sheltered from the storm. Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or videos.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
– For information on appropriate preparations see readync.org
– For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
– For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
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The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Raleigh NC around 6AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

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